Description: Nonlinear Dynamics of the Lithosphere and Earthquake Prediction Please note: this item is printed on demand and will take extra time before it can be dispatched to you (up to 20 working days). Author(s): Vladimir Keilis-Borok, Alexandre A. Soloviev Format: Paperback Publisher: Springer-Verlag Berlin and Heidelberg GmbH & Co. KG, Germany Imprint: Springer-Verlag Berlin and Heidelberg GmbH & Co. K ISBN-13: 9783642078064, 978-3642078064 Synopsis The vulnerability of our civilization to earthquakes is rapidly growing, rais ing earthquakes to the ranks of major threats faced by humankind. Earth quake prediction is necessary to reduce that threat by undertaking disaster preparedness measures. This is one of the critically urgent problems whose solution requires fundamental research. At the same time, prediction is a ma jor tool of basic science, a source of heuristic constraints and the final test of theories. This volume summarizes the state-of-the-art in earthquake prediction. Its following aspects are considered: - Existing prediction algorithms and the quality of predictions they pro vide. - Application of such predictions for damage reduction, given their current accuracy, so far limited. - Fundamental understanding of the lithosphere gained in earthquake prediction research. - Emerging possibilities for major improvements of earthquake prediction methods. - Potential implications for predicting other disasters, besides earthquakes. Methodologies. At the heart of the research described here is the inte gration of three methodologies: phenomenological analysis of observations; "universal" models of complex systems such as those considered in statistical physics and nonlinear dynamics; and Earth-specific models of tectonic fault networks. In addition, the theory of optimal control is used to link earthquake prediction with earthquake preparedness.
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Book Title: Nonlinear Dynamics of the Lithosphere and Earthquake Prediction
Number of Pages: 337 Pages
Language: English
Publication Name: Nonlinear Dynamics of the Lithosphere and Earthquake Prediction
Publisher: Springer-Verlag Berlin AND Heidelberg Gmbh & Co. KG
Publication Year: 2010
Subject: Geology, Physics
Item Height: 235 mm
Item Weight: 545 g
Type: Textbook
Author: Vladimir Keilis-Borok, Alexandre A. Soloviev
Series: Springer Series in Synergetics
Item Width: 155 mm
Format: Paperback