Description: Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View Please note: this item is printed on demand and will take extra time before it can be dispatched to you (up to 20 working days). Author(s): Jakub Bijak, Arkadiusz Wisniowski Format: Paperback Publisher: Springer, Netherlands Imprint: Springer ISBN-13: 9789400733954, 978-9400733954 Synopsis International migration is becoming an increasingly important element of contemporary demographic dynamics and yet, due to its high volatility, it remains the most unpredictable element of population change. In Europe, population forecasting is especially difficult because good-quality data on migration are lacking. There is a clear need for reliable methods of predicting migration since population forecasts are indispensable for rational decision making in many areas, including labour markets, social security or spatial planning and organisation. In addressing these issues, this book adopts a Bayesian statistical perspective, which allows for a formal incorporation of expert judgement, while describing uncertainty in a coherent and explicit manner. No prior knowledge of Bayesian statistics is assumed. The outcomes are discussed from the point of view of forecast users (decision makers), with the aim to show the relevance and usefulness of the presented methods in practical applications.
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Book Title: Forecasting International Migration in Europe: A Bayesian View
Number of Pages: 316 Pages
Language: English
Publication Name: Forecasting International Migration in Europe: a Bayesian View
Publisher: Springer, Arkadiusz Wisniowski
Publication Year: 2012
Subject: Transportation, Mathematics
Item Height: 235 mm
Item Weight: 522 g
Type: Textbook
Author: Jakub Bijak
Subject Area: Human Biology
Series: The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis
Item Width: 155 mm
Format: Paperback
